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StockIceMan's Weekly Stock Pick
Week of January 22, 2007


Stock: Novastar Financial, Inc.
Ticker Symbol: NFI - NYSE - Mortgage Investment
Buy: 21.00 to 21.50
Sell: 32.00
Info: NovaStar Financial, Inc. and subsidiaries operate as a specialty finance company. The company originates, purchases, invests in, and services residential nonconforming loans in the United States. It offers a range of mortgage loan products to borrowers. The company operates through four segments: Mortgage Portfolio Management, Mortgage Lending, Loan Servicing, and Branch Operations. The Mortgage Portfolio Management segment invests in assets generated primarily from its origination and purchase of nonconforming, single family, and residential mortgage loans. It provides finance by issuing asset-backed bonds and entering into reverse repurchase agreements. This segment�s mortgage securities include AAA and nonrated interest only, prepayment penalty, over collateralization, and other subordinated mortgage securities. The Mortgage lending segment originates and purchases nonconforming and single-family residential mortgage loans through its mortgage securities investment portfolio loan origination network, which includes wholesale loan brokers, correspondent institutions, and direct to consumer operations. The Loan Servicing segment retains the servicing rights with respect to loans it securitizes. The Branch Operation segment provides an additional source for mortgage loan originations, which it sells either in securitizations or in outright sales to third parties. The company has elected to be taxed as a real estate investment trust (REIT). As a REIT, it would not be subject to federal income tax, if it distributes at least 90% of its taxable income to its shareholders. NovaStar Financial was co-founded by Scott F. Hartman and W. Lance Anderson in 1996. The company is headquartered in Kansas, Missouri
Financial Info: For the nine months ended 9/30/06, revenues rose 54% to $341.2 million. Net income from continuing operations applicable to Common fell 28% to $82.4 million.
Key Ratios: Current Ratio: 0.995, Total Debt/Equity: 8.144, Trailing P/E: 6.69x, Forward P/E: 6.51x,  Price/Book: 1.47, Price/Sales: 2.45
Share Info: There are 36.99 million shares outstanding with 33.88 million shares in the trading float. Institutions own approximately 33.30% of the shares outstanding. There have been no insider purchases and 7 insider sales totaling 144,800 shares in the last six months. Real-Time SEC Filings

As of 12/12/2006, there were 11.25 million shares short.

Net Institutional Selling:  896,291 shares prior to latest quarter.
Articles: NOVASTAR FINANCIAL INC Files SEC form 8-K, Regulation FD Disclosure, Financial Statements and Exhibits

 
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